The U.S. Senate finally passed a $1.9 trillion COVID-19 relief bill over the weekend but stocks are set to head lower on Monday.
Technology stocks are once again under pressure as bond yields continue to rise…
— with investors rotating from assets perceived as having stretched valuations. The yield on the 10-year Treasury TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.586%, up 64 basis points this year through Friday, rose 2 basis points to 1.589% on Monday.
In our call of the day, Miller Tabak & Co’s chief market strategist Matt Maley said investors need to be “very careful” about buying the dip when it comes to the tech-laden index and should instead be selling the bounces.
Maley said that despite a “nice bounce” on Friday, the index still closed the week below 13,000 and said any more downside in the near-term would be “very negative on a technical basis.” Miller Tabak stressed it wasn’t calling for a repeat of the Nasdaq’s slump in 2000, but said it was clear the trend had changed following last week’s losses.
Therefore, Maley recommended investors sell on any bounces for now and look for “some capitulation before they get more aggressive on the buy side of things.”
The trend may have reversed for the Nasdaq Composite but there is still some hope for the broader tech sector, Miller Tabak noted.
“The reason for this is that the biotech group has also been weighing on the Nasdaq and the extra negative jolt this group has given the Nasdaq has been a catalyst for a more meaningful break down in this index than we have seen in some of the tech ETFs,” Maley said. Key tech exchange-traded funds and indexes are yet to break below key support levels, he added, which should be closely watched in the coming days.
For example, the FAANG Index — which includes Facebook FB, +2.58%, Amazon AMZN, +0.77%, Apple AAPL, +1.07%, Netflix NFLX, +1.00% and Google parent Alphabet GOOGL, +3.10% — is only 6% off February highs and still sits above its 100 day moving average. “A break below that moving average would send up a big warning flag on the group,” he said.
The same can be said for the XLK Tech ETF XLK, +1.89%, which has declined 7% and has also held above its 100 day moving average. Finally, the SMH semiconductor ETF SMH, +3.21%, which has fallen into correction territory, was key, in particularly the 220 level. “If it closes next week below that level, it will give it a key “lower-low,” he said.
Despite the tech slump, it wasn’t…
Continue reading at MARKETWATCH.com